UFC 278 betting preview: Will Kamaru Usman tie consecutive wins record?

UFC 278 betting preview Kamaru Usman has been ranked as the world’s No. one fighter pound for pound of mixed martial art. Today, with a record of 15-0 with the UFC and a chance to surpass Anderson Silva’s record of most wins in the company’s history on Saturday on the night of UFC 278 at Salt Lake City when he takes on Leon Edwards in a rematch over six years ahead of schedule.

UFC 278 betting preview

The current UFC Welterweight champion has worked hard to establish his reputation as the top 170-pounder to ever compete in MMA since Georges St-Pierre. The renowned Canadian was a huge champion that he was able to sweep the division in such a way that he beat several of his opponents on numerous occasions. Usman continues to enjoy the identical period of his title reign.

His memorable 2021 season included second career victories over Jorge Masvidal and Colby Covington. He beat Edwards in a three-round knockout in December 2015. Usman is now an icon and Edwards is undefeated since the first meeting creates a thrilling main event.

UFC 278’s pay-per-view card includes the former middleweight champ, Luke Rockhold, returning from a three-year absence to face Paulo Costa in a grudge fight that could produce an exciting finale. It also has a fascinating bantamweight battle between future Hall of Inductee Jose Aldo and rising 135-pound contender Merab Dvalishvili.

Usman And Costa are among the top favorites as is a regular motif on this card. Seven favorite fighters had odds of -350 or higher at the time of writing so anyone who is betting on the majority of favorites in the upcoming UFC 278 will need to take a risk and lay an incredibly large amount of chalk.

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This is a more detailed review of UFC 278’s main fights…

Usman -350 | Edwards +275 | Draw +8000
Usman through decision–105 Edwards through decision and +750
Usman via Stoppage +225 Edwards via stoppage +450

Usman finished with a -225 odds-on favorite and Edwards was a +200 favorite when they met at the year’s Fight Night event. To add a note the three-round fight was held on the first part of a preliminary card which was, in retrospect, one of the best-stacked of all time in UFC history. The future UFC champions Francis Ngannou, Valentina Shevchenko, and Charles Oliveira also picked up wins before the main event that featured Nate Diaz’s famous, “You’re taking everything I worked for, (expletive)” post-fight rant that was directed at Conor McGregor.

Usman started this fight week as a favorite of -400, however, the odds have dropped slightly with some excitement being reported on Edwards who is unbeaten in his last 10 combats (9-0 including one no-contest contest) following his loss in a unanimous victory to Usman.

Usman’s control and wrestling ended out to be the key factor in the first bout and are one aspect of his game that he can always draw on if the fighter isn’t happy with what he’s experiencing and feeling while exchanging strikes with his feet. Usman has a record of 14-0 and is the odds-on favorite for the UFC. The only time he was the underdog came when he clinched the title in the year 2019 by beating his former champion, Tyron Woodley.

Edwards does not land with a lot of speed, but he’s skilled and effective and has an advantage in speed, particularly at the beginning of the fight. Edwards can beat Usman like Covington did — by edging Usman from a distance. The fight should be more intense than Usman’s fights with Jorge Masvidal. Edwards is an underdog in two of his bouts following his loss to Usman and beating Albert Tumenov in 2016 and Vicente Luque in 2017.

Edwards frequently takes advantage of his dazzling top game, but it’s not the most likely path to victory over Usman who boasts a 100 percent percentage takedown defense and whose dominance along the cage is unbeatable.

The challenger has just come from a unanimous five-round defeat to Nate Diaz. Edwards was dominant for 24 of 25 minutes of the fight but was defeated in the final 60 seconds following an unbeaten straight in the pipe by Diaz. Edwards was also ejected in the final minute by Bryan Barberena earlier in his career and this one has been a standout for me.

Edwards has never stopped throughout his MMA career, however, we’ve seen him in a number of his UFC appearances. If Usman cleanly hits Edwards at any time, it could be a light-up fight. There has been significant improvement in the way that Usman strikes since he took the title. His ability to incorporate takedowns into his fights creates opportunities for him to set up and hit his powerful punches.

Odds of a likely outcome: Usman by decision -105
My choice (and my preferred prop bet): Usman (by stoppage +225)

Costa 400 | Rockhold +300 Draw +8000
Costa through decision +500 Rockhold through a decision of +650
Costa Rockhold through stoppage +600

There have been champions from the past like GSP as well as Dominick Cruz, who returned to the Octagon triumphant after several years off in the gym. Will the former middleweight champion Rockhold achieve the same feat against an ex-title challenger who is hard-hitting?

Rockhold was a four-time fighter from 2016-2019 and was knocked down as a heavy favorite during three fights. Rockhold is a formidable grappler that can perform the submission, ground-and-pound finish, or a dominant decision win when he can get supreme control over Costa. The only issue is that Costa is an aggressive striker that’s notoriously difficult to overcome. In addition, with Rockhold’s chin and layoff in addition to the fact, that Rockhold only attains 30 percent of his career’s takedown rate There’s a reason why the odds are against Rockhold.

Odds of a likely outcome: Costa by stoppage 200
My bet (and my favorite betting prop): Fight to finish at Round 2. +275

Aldo +110 Dvalishvili +138 Draw +8000
Aldo Dvalishvili through decision +130
Aldo Dvalishvili through stoppage +450

The fight has title implications at 135 pounds, so the other divisions will be keeping attention to it. Fight of the Night contender. Aljamain Sterling will defend his title with T.J. Dillashaw at October’s UFC 280, a card that will also feature Petr Yan. Sean O’Malley, although it’s not possible that a great performance by Aldo or Dvalishvili could result in them jumping the line.

Aldo, who was a former featherweight champion as well as a champion of the bantamweight title once, has won three straight fights and started his current streak by beating Marlon “Chito” Vera. While Dvalishvili had won 7 fights in consecutive bouts after starting his UFC career with a 0-2. The Georgian has a seemingly endless fuel tank and has proved to be extremely resilient.

Aldo was initially listed as a -170 favorite, however, sharp bettors re-evaluated the market swiftly to the point that Dvalishvili was the most popular choice within days, which is a more precise indication of how the match is to be viewed. Dvalishvili has an edge in the field of wrestling, endurance, and speed; Aldo is equipped with more tools and has more power on the ground, as well as an unmatched record of opponents. Dvalishvili can score 7.30 takedowns in 15 minutes (his total of 63 takedowns ranks the ninth highest for the sport in UFC time) and Aldo has a legendary 90 percent takedown defense. This is the battle in the middle of the match.

Dvalishvili was awarded an extra performance reward for his stoppage victory over Marlon Moraes in his last fight however, he was in a lot of trouble after being knocked down in the first round. If Aldo remains on his feet and doesn’t turn his back to the cage, he will win this fight. If he doesn’t, he’ll become exhausted due to Dvalishvili’s ferocity.

Odds suggest that the most likely result is: Dvalishvili by decision +130
My choice (and my preferred betting on props): Dvalishvili (by stoppage +450, Dvalishvili in Round 3 +3300. Also, consider live betting Dvalishvili if Aldo takes the lead in the striking-heavy opening round)

-(-) Kamaru Usman (-350) against. Leon Edwards (+275)
— Paulo Costa (-400) vs. Luke Rockhold (+300)
-(-) Jose Aldo (+110) vs. Merab Dvalishvili (-138)
— Wu Yanan (+100) vs. Lucie Pudilova (-125)
— Tyson Pedro (-800) vs. Harry Hunsucker (+550)

— Marcin Tybura (+300) vs. Alexander Romanov (-400)
— Leonardo Santos (+225) vs. Jared Gordon (-275)
— Sean Woodson (-350) vs. Luis Saldana (+275)
— Miranda Maverick (-600) vs. Shanna Young (+450)
— A.J. Fletcher (-160) in opposition to. Ange Loosa (+130)
— Amir Albazi (-450) vs. Francisco Figueiredo (+350)
— Aori Qileng (-150) vs. Jay Perrin (+125)
— Daniel Lacerda (+140) vs. Victor Altamirano (-170)

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